Do You Know How Judges Decide Cases? Do You Have A Hunch?

      
          [Image: The center third of "Education" (1890), a stained glass window by Charles Louis Tiffany and Tiffany Studios, located in Linsley-Chittenden Hall at Yale University.  It depicts Science (personified by Devotion, Labor, Truth, Research and Intuition).]


          Writing in the online ABA Journal, Debra Cassens Weiss picks up on a fascinating story from the Legal Blog Watch by Robert J. Ambrogi on an upcoming Cornell Law Review article called "Blinking on the Bench: How Judges Decide Cases."  The article, written by Chris Guthrie of Vanderbilt Law School, Jeffrey J. Rachlinski of Cornell Law School and U.S. Magistrate Judge Andrew J. Wistrich of the Central District of California, analyzes how trial judges make decisions.
  
          Their thesis rests on the dichotomy between  "deliberative" and "intuitive"  decision-making  processes.  Their conclusion? As quoted by Robert Ambrogi, trial judges "are predominantly intuitive decision makers, and intuitive judgments are often flawed," with the result that "millions of litigants each year might be adversely affected by judicial overreliance on intuition."

          The complete article thoroughly describes the characteristics, advantages and disadvantages of deliberative decision making and intuitive decision making, and then explains the testing done by the authors on 295 Florida trial court judges that forms the basis for their conclusions.  Among those tests were the following questions (try all three before checking the answers at the end of this post, below):

          1- A bat and a ball cost $1.10 in total. The bat costs $1.00 more than the ball. How much does the ball cost?

          2- If it takes five machines five minutes to make five widgets, how long would it take 100 machines to make 100 widgets?

          3- In a lake, there is a patch of lily pads. Every day, the patch doubles in size. If it takes 48 days for the patch to cover the entire lake, how long would it take for the patch to cover half of the lake?

          According to the authors, nearly one-third of the judges failed to answer a single question correctly; nearly one-third of them answered only one question correctly; about one-quarter of them answered  two questions correctly; and roughly one in seven answered all three questions correctly.  How did you do?

          Although the judges' scores were comparable to those of other well educated adults, they illustrate the authors' point: while intuition is quicker and often "feels right," it cannot substitute for a careful deliberative process in reaching just and accurate decisions.

          So what does all this have to do with alternative dispute resolution?  A few things occur to me:

        - The parties to a dispute heading towards litigation need to be realistic about what they an expect from the courts at the end of their case.  They typically cannot select their judge, and their judge probably has far more cases to handle than there are hours in the day - the primary reason the article's authors found for most judges' reliance on an intuitive approach.

        - Alternative dispute resolution processes, whether adjudicative (arbitration, evaluation) or facilitative (mediation, negotiation), inherently permit and encourage a more deliberative approach than a trial court's decision.  Time, attention (and sometimes expertise) are brought to bear on the dispute as needed. 

        - The process of "reality testing" that is a major part of most mediations results in the parties and counsel having to confront the intuitive but unsound aspects of their case, and then reshape it accordingly, while there is still time for a fair settlement.

          Of course, some parties may want an "intuitive" decision-maker, and may be convinced that the prospect of a favorable result in that forum far outweighs the risk of a less than perfect decision.  They may even be correct.  But that is just another factor in the mix of issues and interests to be sorted out.


Answers to the questions above:
1- The correct answer is 5 cents, not 10 cents.
2- The correct answer is five minutes, not 100 minutes.
3- The correct answer is 47 days, not 24 days.


Hospitals Must Develop Sustainable ER On-Call Programs (Did you want to keep that finger?)

        
          [Image: Hospital Corpsman sutures a patient's hand.  Photo by Dexter Roberts, May 31, 2005]

          I recently wrote here that the Report of the New Jersey Commission On Rationalizing Health Care Resources (the "Reinhardt Commission Report") suggested three areas for collaboration between hospitals and their medical staffs that would be challenging, but worthy of pursuit.  Among them, the need to develop a mutually acceptable and enforceable program of Emergency Department coverage, jumped off the pages of the AHLA Health and Life Sciences Law Daily (members only) today in the form of an article by Ann Wlazelek in The Morning Call.  The story, "Doctors' stance leaves hospital shorthanded," tells the tale of a failed negotiation between management at Lehigh Valley Hospital and a group of specially trained hand surgeons to continue the surgeons' on-call coverage at the Hospital's Cedar Crest emergency room in Allentown, Pennsylvania.
          The Reinhardt Commission Report  (at pages  125-126) offers a concise explanation of the problem: hospitals by law must provide around the clock care in their emergency departments that includes a variety of specialized physicians' services, while the obligation of members of their medical staffs to provide those services is limited, unclear and difficult to enforce.  Most of the potential fixes for this problem suggested by the Report are outside the power of any one hospital to accomplish (e.g., standardized regulatory mandates for physician coverage,  increased Medicaid payments to physicians, regional coordination of services into Centers of Excellence).  The clear message in this portion of the Report is that each hospital faces unique circumstances, and must find its own way to solve the on-call problem.
          I don't know anything about the situation of the Lehigh Vally Hospital hand surgeons other than what I read in The Morning Call.   What I can tell is that each of the parties has adopted and stated a position that it will not relinquish.  The Hospital's position is that it must be able to determine the nature and scope of the services it will offer in its emergency department,  and that members of the Hospital's medical staff must provide all necessary on-call services as a condition of their staff membership. The hand surgeons' position is that they should not have to provide on-call services to patients from a great distance away who could have been treated by other qualified surgeons in their own area.
          Although these positions appear to be irreconcilable, I wonder if the parties have explored and shared their respective interests.  The Hospital's interests might include:
1- securing necessary medical expertise in the emergency department 24/7/365;
2- retaining the ability to determine the nature and scope of the services it will offer;
3- maintaining a medical staff rule for on-call coverage that is fair, reasonable and perceived as such; and
4- operating cost effectively. 
          The interests of the hand surgeons might include:
1- limiting their on-call coverage to patients who truly require their expertise; 
2- preserving the scheduling integrity of their regular office and surgical practice;  and
3- defining an on-call coverage obligation that is equitable when compared with other members of the medical staff. 
          I doubt that either party would object to the other's statement or attainment of their respective interests.  Might it then be possible for all or most of these interests to be accommodated within a comprehensive solution to the parties' on-call coverage problem?  I think it would.  I suspect this has not happened because the parties have not attempted to do it.  Instead, the hand surgeons are off the medical staff and the Hospital is about to spend a lot of money to recruit a hand surgeon who cannot possibly cover the emergency department 24/7/365.  Everybody loses.
          Hospitals in New Jersey and elsewhere can reach a better result if they work with their medical staffs to fashion solutions that address not their stated positions on this issue, but their respective, legitimate interests.  A mediated process of collaboration can create opportunities that otherwise will be missed.

Should Doctors Insist That Their Patients Arbitrate? Should Patients Agree?

       

            [Image: The Turnstiles of Taipei in Xindien Station, by Shack,  June 28, 2007]


          An article posted in Sunday's philly.com by Inquirer Staff Writer Stacey Burling described arbitration as "a growing trend in health care."  In particular, the article focused on the practice of some physicians and other health care providers to condition their willingness to provide services on the patient's signature of an agreement to arbitrate all disputes (including malpractice claims) arising out of the physician-patient relationship.  Sometimes the agreement will place limits on the nature and amount of damages that can be recovered in a malpractice action.
          One patient interviewed for the article said she could never use a physician who required such an agreement because that physician had "already set the tone" of their relationship to be one of "adversaries before we even know each other."  I suspect this feeling may be widespread, although that says more about most people's assumptions concerning litigation and alternatives to litigation than anything else. 
          How would patients feel about entering a doctor's office for the first time and having to ask that doctor to sign a form that said something like this: "I [physician] agree that you [patient] reserve the right to hire a lawyer on a contingent fee basis to sue me in court for unlimited damages in the event you are in any way unhappy with my services, and that your claim will be decided by a small group of strangers who have no training in the law or medicine and will be final and binding upon me."  Sets a nice tone, doesn't it?
          As one doctor interviewed for the article said, he started requiring an arbitration agreement as a precondition to taking on new patients to "somehow create malpractice reform for myself since it wasn't coming from the courts and it wasn't coming from the legislature."
          If you assume that the creation of the doctor-patient relationship is a free choice for both parties, why shouldn't those parties be free to decide how disputes that arise in the course of their relationship will be resolved?  To be sure, there is potential for overreaching and abuse here, but nothing that can't be overcome.  Such agreements can't be forced upon patients who are in the middle of an emergent or life threatening condition; they can't require unreasonable venue, costs or other procedural rules; they can't be unclear, ambiguous or unduly complicated; they must be reciprocal;  and they must not so diminish the patient's substantive rights to relief as to be "unconscionable". 
          The idea that such agreements are so inherently unfair and inconsistent with our society's values that they must be judicially stricken, or legislatively outlawed, rests on a  fundamental mistrust  of appropriate alternatives to courtroom litigation that has long been debunked.
          I don't know how I would react to my doctor requiring me to sign an arbitration agreement.  I'd like to think I would listen to his explanation of why he wants it, I would read it, and I would make my decision as to what it says about him and our relationship.  But that would be between us.

Reinhardt Commission Report Will Require Unprecedented Hospital - Physician Collaboration

                       
          [Image: US Navy Commander Robert S. Kerno, Commanding Officer, USS Yorktown, points out some sights to the President of Venezuela, Hugo Chavez, on a tour of the ship during the 43rd annual UNITAS exercise, March 2, 2002.]


          I wrote here last week that the recently released Report of the New Jersey Commission On Rationalizing Health Care Resources (the "Reinhardt Commission") contained a cogent analysis of the unique relationship between hospitals and physicians.  The Report makes a series of recommendations for the improvement of hospital finances, operating efficiency and patient care that are worthy of pursuit.  However, underlying several of those key recommendations is the need for collaboration between hospitals and the members of their medical staffs - collaboration of a kind rarely seen before now.
          In posts to follow, I will focus on what I see as three key areas in which any hospital and its medical staff can translate the Commission's recommendations into concrete results: 1- establishing joint hospital-physician accountability for adherence to evidence based practice guidelines; 2- developing a mutually acceptable and enforceable program of Emergency Department coverage; and 3- creating a feasible plan to improve the efficient use of hospital resources through changes in scheduling, deployment of professional resources, staffing of intensive care services and management of the continuum of care.
          Before any of these tasks can be addressed successfully, hospitals must decide that these are goals worthy of a significant effort.  Such an effort will likely require formation of a special Board level committee, with management staff, to be charged with development of a plan and the task of integrating the input of the medical staff.  That process of integration will vary from hospital to hospital based on the existing relationship and history, but will require careful attention in every case. 
          Although in most instances the hospital's pursuit of these goals will not immediately place it in a "conflict" or "dispute" with its medical staff, the potential for that result is high.  Moreover, the nature of the issues that must be placed on the agenda can create perceptions and reactions that, once formed, are difficult to undo.  The involvement of a neutral, third party in the design and facilitation of the collaboration process can often obviate or ameliorate these problems.  Agreement between a hospital and its medical staff on the selection of such a neutral may well be the best first step of their journey.

Welcome Mediation Meditations Blog!

      
          [Image: Welcome to the Winter Capital of America. Mardi Gras Maskers on Canal Street, New Orleans, LA, early 20th century postcard.]


         I just saw that Chris Annunziata and Vickie Pynchon have pointed out a new mediation blog, Mediation Meditations, being written by New York business and commercial mediator Christian Herzeca.  His posts offer an interesting perspective on mediator thinking and the process of mediation, and I have added him to the list of recommended ADR blogs here. 
         Thanks, Christian, for adding me to your blogroll, and keep up the great posts!